The Family and the Country Chapter 10 Noble Below

"I can become an adviser to the next prime minister and tell you something to pay attention to...... Cai Yuanpei said. However, before he could finish speaking, he was interrupted by Du Yaquan, "This is not good, what if the future prime minister does not listen to the advice?" Rather than this, it is better to be re-elected. After Du Yaquan finished speaking, he asked Yang Rui, "Let's just say it, what should I do?" ”

"I'm conflicted, too." Yang Rui understands that these people are not utilitarians, at least from a historical point of view, their character is often praised, so he intends to tell the truth. "Power is corrosive, if I continue to be re-elected, it will be difficult for me to take the initiative to step down from my position in the future, and even now, I am not used to retiring ......"

"Hehe......" Du Yaquan didn't know why he laughed, and the others laughed too. Yang Rui continued, "But if I am not re-elected, according to the method of the people, I will probably cross the line between the adviser and the prime minister, and I will not be able to distinguish between me and the prime minister." But without advice, it's really hard to predict which way the country will go next. If it was another period, it didn't matter if I didn't have it, but now it's not, although the war in Europe is over and the Paris Peace Treaty was signed, but when did Europe end the melee and not sign the peace treaty?

Peace treaties are signed every time, but each peace treaty is the trigger for the next war. The French Foch was right, this is not peace, this is only a twenty-year truce. In other words, in twenty years we will have to face a new world war. If the world war that has just ended is a struggle for hegemony in the spring, then the next world war will be the sweep of King Qin, and the intensity and cruelty of the war are several times or more than ten times that of the previous one. What will happen then, I don't know;

And because I don't know, I can't be a consultant like I say. Give a timetable to the future prime minister. Sometimes my judgment can be wrong, but even if it is, it is wrong. But I believe that no one knows better than me where history is heading, what will be the decisive factor in the next war. This kind of judgment that the details are wrong but generally correct can be confusing. Whether to believe or not to believe is a big question.

If I continue to be re-elected, I fear that I will become a real dictator; If I don't get re-elected, I'm worried that the latecomers will lose all the cards that weren't so good - we're still in an insecure phase, and the situation is better than before, but if we're not careful, we'll still fall; And once it falls, not to mention that Beiting and the Outer Northeast cannot be saved, Kannai will also become a wrestling ground between the United States and Russia, and civil fighting, rebellion, and even civil war may occur......"

Seeing that what Yang Rui said was so scary, Cai Yuanpei was the first to disbelieve it. He thought that Yang Rui was telling the truth at the beginning, but then he was a little alarmist, because otherwise, Yang Rui had no reason to continue to be re-elected. He couldn't help but interrupt: "Let's just say it, if you are re-elected, when will you feel that you can let go?" ”

"If nothing else, the Peace Treaty of Paris should be signed in the next major war. At that time, the world order has been re-established, and there should have been a long and long period of peace, as long as our interests and positions are established at that peace conference. I can just let it go. Yang Rui said honestly.

"Is there really going to be a big war? Isn't there a League of Nations? Qiu Jin was a woman after all, and she thought that after the signing of the League of Nations, as the newspapers said at the time, there would be permanent peace. Now that Yang Rui is sure that there will be the next big war, she has to ask.

"Of course there is." Yang Rui knew that the League of Nations was pinned on by weak countries and peaceful people all over the world, so he had to answer this question. to dispel rumors. However, thinking of Hitler's disappearance, he could not tell when the Second World War began, how it began, and how it ended. "Germany will not admit defeat. The French were right in their judgment of this, and the British would never let Europe be completely at peace. War is only a matter of time; The Bolsheviks wanted to destroy all capitalist regimes, and in twenty years they would be very powerful; And the United States, we will all benefit from it.

The League of Nations hoped to be good, but it did not have its own peacekeeping force and did not have its own funds. According to the rules of the alliance, if the two countries were to intervene in a dispute to stop the war, the consent of all member states would be required, which was almost impossible; And the United States is outside the League of Nations, his strength is enough to confront the entire League of Nations, what if the League of Nations wants to fight for two countries, wants to sanction a certain country, but the United States does not agree? ”

"How is this possible?" Xie Jintai said. "Although Americans are hateful, some things are still very measured."

"Like invading Latin American countries now?" Yang Rui asked rhetorically. As soon as he mentioned Latin America, Xie Jintai smiled embarrassedly, the United States' foreign policy is based on the Americas, and it is very righteous outside the Americas; Within that, he frequently interfered in the internal affairs of various countries in his own unique way, and united fruits, Standard Oil, which were the bane of the Great Tothra. And in the economic crisis, even outside the Americas, he will still be swayed by these big companies.

"The League of Nations is only an institution that seems to be able to prevent war, but the interests of Britain and France are centered on Europe; The center of gravity of U.S. interests is in the Americas; We ...... with Japan, and Britain may have trusted us, or perhaps in order to provoke the contradictions between China and Japan and the United States, she gradually ceded some power in Asia to us, only asking us to protect her economic interests and the safety of her expatriates; Russia's interests are all over the world. Everyone has their own sphere of influence, and the contradictions are irreconcilable. Yang Rui said.

"But why are we friendly to Russia but alienated from the United States?" Cai Yuanpei asked. Affection for the United States and extreme dislike for Russia make it unhappy with current foreign policy. "Can't we make friends with the United States?"

"Why?" Yang Rui smiled, "You say this because you have prejudices against the United States and Russia." On the surface, the United States advocates justice, but in fact they have indirectly killed no fewer people than the Bolsheviks, but they never have blood on their hands; And although the Bolshevik was vicious, covered in blood and murderous, his ideals were not necessarily evil.

Putting aside this prejudice, we can find it a fact that Russia is weaker than the United States, and that it is now in a state of hostility throughout the world, and that we are friendly to it, that we give loans, and that we do not expect anything in return from them, but at least we can build a trust, and this trust is the basis for the peaceful coexistence of the two countries. In other words, it would be better to confront the Bolsheviks than to buy them so that the workers would not be incited to rebellion by them.

With the theory of hegemony. Russia's occupation of East Asia cannot be compared with the United States' monopoly of the Pacific, and all they want is access to the sea and the security of access to the sea; And the U.S. domination of the Pacific makes it necessary to choose between the U.S. and Japan. To be close to the United States is to be hostile to Japan, but to be close to Russia will not offend Japan. Isn't that enough to justify alienating the United States? ”

"But don't forget. Many of the industrial projects we build are aimed at the U.S. market. Du Yaquan interjected. If automobiles, household appliances, and mechanical and electrical products are handed over to the United States, foreign trade will be seriously affected. ”

"But the combined trade volume of these industrial goods will not be more than the amount of imported goods from the United States." Yang Rui emphasized, "We and the United States may eventually be in a state of reciprocal trade, that is, I will import as much as you import me." The difference is that we export heavy industrial goods to the United States, while we import American light industrial goods, such as sugar. Don't think we can live in peace with the United States. Speaking of this, he glanced at Xu Huafeng and said, "In five years, the United States will feel the deadly threat brought to it by our industrial products, and in ten years, she will frequently protest and engage in all kinds of small actions, and in fifteen years, it is very likely that a war will start against us......

"Don't be alarmist!" Cai Yuanpei interrupted, he was completely sure at this time that Yang Rui would frequently create threats in order to be re-elected, and among these people, he knew the military best, whether it was the next world war or the United States going to war against China. These are the reasons why he will not step down from office if he is re-elected. This may not be a deliberately fabricated lie, because Yang Rui himself believes this, but his belief is just a miscalculation.

"There is no alarmism." Xu Huafeng said. "In terms of shipbuilding, Japanese shipyards are one-eighth as efficient as ours [Note 122: The Toyota model is twice as efficient as the Ford model. There is already a note earlier; The Ford model is eight times more efficient than the manual workshop, which comes from Naichi Ohno, "The Toyota Production Way", p4-5.

The original text is as follows: "Around 1937. At the time, I was working at a spinning mill at Toyota Boshoku and I heard someone say. Japan's industrial productivity is 1 to 9 compared to that of the United States.

The man said that when he went to Germany. The Germans produced three times as much as the Japanese. Later, he went from Germany to the United States, and learned that Germany and the United States were equal in terms of production. As a result, Japan is 1 to 9 compared to the United States. I remember being shocked when he said that Japan needs nine people to do the work of one person in the United States.

Shortly after the arrival of U.N. troops on Japanese soil in 1945, Field Marshal MacArthur said that Japan was one-eighth as productive as the United States. In terms of cars, we are twice as efficient as Ford, which is one of the reasons why our tractors sell well all over the world.

In addition to efficiency, the quality of American goods can not be compared with us, and people who have used our things will be very unaccustomed to using American goods. If you don't believe it, you can find a Ford car to drive, and then find a ......, the yellow flag is not wanted, too high-end, find an Audi to drive, and you will know what it means to 'not compare with each other'.

We are twice as efficient as the Americans; In terms of quality, I don't even know how many times to describe ......; As for labor costs, even if there is a serious shortage of technical school students, college students, and college students, and the wages are inflated, even if it is not compared with Ford's daily wage of five dollars, the wages of our workers are only one-twentieth of the wages of American workers. In less than ten years, Chinese goods, which are more terrible than the Yellow Peril, will completely crush American goods, and what we produce, the United States will go out of business, and the people think that the United States will not go to war with us? ”

"It can't be." Cai Yuanpei only held his glasses with a weak heart, "In addition to diesel engines and chemicals, we are technically ...... with the United States."

"It's not about technology at all!" Xu Huafeng is full of energy. "The Audi sedan is definitely not more technologically advanced than the cars on the American market, but it is easier to use, more durable and cheaper than the American car. The current economic model of the United States is to import all kinds of raw materials and export industrial products, and the annual income exceeds $89 billion, but once Chinese goods defeat American goods, the situation will be similar to that of Britain and Germany before World War II. With the power of the United States in the Americas, you cannot say that he will be nobler than the British. (To be continued......)