After discussing with Xu Huafeng until late at night, when the table clock rang until twelve o'clock and Cheng Ying sent supper, the two of them still came back to their senses from the plan, but after eating, the two began to discuss again. The first one is whether the financial support can support the popularization of primary schools and technical schools, three years of junior primary school, two years of upper primary school, and here it is five years; After graduation, if you want to go to a technical school, you have to go to a simple junior high school for two years, and although you have to study for three years in a technical school, you only stay in school for two years, and the remaining year is an internship in a factory, which is completely supported by the internship salary, which is to add four years, but junior high school and technical school are required to take exams, and students will not be as many as in primary school.

Originally, it was judged that there were 10 million children of primary school age, but the figure was not necessarily correct. 450 million people, after the founding of the People's Republic of China, with an average life expectancy of 30 years, that from one year old to 60 years old, the average population of each age has 7.5 million, since 30 years old is the average point, then naturally the population of each age over 30 years old will be less than 7.5 million, and more than 7.5 million people below 30 years old, and the younger the age, the more exceeded, after all, according to the laws of nature, the older the age, the lower the survival rate, the entire population age structure chart should be a pyramid shape, the bottom is the baby.

The number of school-age children at the bottom will exceed 10 million, 10 million a year, 50 million in five years, such a large number, according to the previous school department's primary school education ∞ cost: each person must pay three taels of silver per year, so the universal primary school needs 150 million taels; In the four years of junior high school and technical school, three taels a year is definitely not enough, junior high school should reach six taels, and technical schools are equivalent to high school, and ten taels a year should be counted, and five million in junior high school. Here it is sixty million; In technical schools, 40 million students are needed. It all adds up. That's 250 million, and there are three high schools, universities, and international students. Before, it was fifteen million taels, and now, thirty million? Million? Million?

The education budget is close to 300 million taels, and if the administration does not include teachers' salaries and does not take into account the price increase subsidy, it can be set at 80 million taels; Military spending is not just the original 43 army divisions and a small navy, now the army has 88 divisions, the navy has nearly 200 submarines, as well as a battleship and a real aircraft carrier. And in order to obtain a favorable tonnage in the future Washington Naval Treaty, in the two years after the war, there will still be about 200 million taels of shipbuilding costs, and finally the Air Force, which already has more than 1,000 pilots.

At such a scale, the army's military expenditure will definitely exceed 100 million, and it will be conservative at 130 million; Excluding shipbuilding, the annual maintenance cost of a fleet of 400,000 tons with a total tonnage of 400,000 tons is at least 40 million, plus the Air Force and some special expenses. That's another 200 million.

The foreign debt used to be 50 million taels per year, of which Gengzi paid nearly 20 million taels and Jiawu paid 23 million taels. The remaining 10 million taels are other loans. If France really declares war, considering that the loan of 100 million rubles for the First Sino-Japanese indemnity was borrowed by Russia and France, then the annual reparations paid to the outside world will be less than 25 million taels; The customs bureau and diplomacy are combined to 10 million taels. River engineering is 30 million, and government (research and development) is 30 million. The total budget was 675 million taels, and the generous budget was 700 million taels.

Take last year's tax revenue of 650 million. This seems to be on par with fiscal revenues, but what about road construction and industry? The dividends of World War I are assumed to be 3 billion, but it will take 1.2 billion to redeem the cultivated land, and it is necessary to prepare an additional 500 million for the redemption of all the tenants; The remaining 1.3 billion, 200 million naval ships, and the next 1.1 billion.

This money is in it for building roads, running businesses, and fighting wars. The construction standard of the Western Regions Railway is extremely high, and even the double line is considered, Xi'an to Beiting (Yili) 3,200 kilometers, Luntai (Urumqi) to Kashgar 1,500 kilometers, these 4,700 kilometers of railway, the budget is 350 million taels; In the end, it is unpredictable that it will be the military expenditure to fight with the Soviet Union, if it is fought in the Far East, the supply of the Soviet army is unfavorable, and 400 million taels may be able to be done, but if it is fought in the Western Regions, it will be miserable, even if the remaining money is used as military spending to settle the Soviet Union, what about the money for building roads? Let those landlords come out? This is not a railway, anyone can walk up, the landlord will invest in those prosperous sections, and the rest are rare.

No matter how much money is calculated, Yang Rui and Xu Huafeng looked at each other and smiled bitterly under the electric light, Yang Rui said: "Now it depends on whether the Germans will implement unlimited submarine warfare earlier, if it is implemented earlier, then shipping may really be able to earn two billion taels, plus military steel and the like, there are really four billion, then thank God." ”

Yang Rui has always had great confidence in Europe, but Xu Huafeng asked: "Now that the German army is overwhelmed, how can they do that?" Actually, this European war won't end this year, right? ”

"Impossible!" Yang Rui shook his head, "The current war has been a general war, relying on the industrial strength of the entire country, even if France is occupied by Germany, he still has colonial support, with the support of Britain and Russia, at present it seems that the German army is at the end of the crossbow, at most it will not be able to fight on the line of the Marne, and further on, the British and French troops will push them back." ”

"Can't beat Paris?" Xu Huafeng was thinking about the war in Europe, and he was actually a little fascinated.

"It's difficult, the German heavy artillery was pulled to the front line by tractors, but are there enough shells? Verdun and Paris two fortresses, the Germans can only choose one place to occupy, the real greatest threat to the German army is Verdun, if Paris is really valued by Germany, then the Germans will not deliberately bypass Paris, to pursue the retreating British and French troops. Yang Rui said. Leo and I judged that the Germans would be engaged in trench warfare with the Anglo-French on the Marne line, and that both sides wanted to detour to the right flank of the other, so that the line would stretch from the Marne to the English Channel. Hehe, the British must be excited......"

"Why?" Xu Huafeng didn't know what Yang Rui was laughing at.

"Because of this advance to the sea, the English Channel will be controlled by the Germans on this side of the European continent." Yang Rui said, "In this way, German airships and planes can reach Britain for bombing as long as they cross the strait, and our air force has something to do." ”

"Ahh Our Air Force? Is it necessary to declare war on Germany? Xu Huafeng was puzzled.

"Of course, no war will be declared, but a volunteer air force can be formed, and they will protect the legation in Britain, and by the way, half of London, so that they can curry favor with Britain and let them buy more things. It can also advertise the aircraft. Yang Rui said with a smile, he knew about the Great Panic of Zeppelin in World War I. It's a good opportunity for the plane to hit the airship. Not a problem at all. "In fact, sending the army to Europe to die, it is better to send the air force to defend London, a few hundred people are enough, the military expenditure is not high, and it is eye-catching, the sacrifice of any soldier will have a great impact, but if 10,000 people die in France, it is not a matter."

Yang Rui said his clever way, and Xu Huafeng also smiled, just like those American volunteers who came to China. The slightest military exploit has to be summoned and praised by the emperor, and the impression caused is good, and there are not a few people dead. "Actually, then the German emperor will be unhappy, our people ......"

"He's not happy about anything." Yang Rui disdainful, "He is the nephew of Queen Elizabeth, you can't bomb London anywhere, what if you blow up your uncle, uncle, seven aunts and eight aunts, I'm teaching him to be a man." ”

'Hahahaha...... Xu Huafeng burst into laughter. He was a little tired, and the fatigue before laughing was gone, and he said, "Since they are all relatives, then he still blows up?" ”

"Dangrang will blow up." Yang Rui didn't smile at all. "As soon as the French battlefield entered a stalemate, the Germans would do everything they could to get Britain out of the war, and the bombing of London was more about intimidation. This can be regarded as a desperate move by the Germans. The same is true of unrestricted submarine warfare, where there is a fleet that does not go to a decisive battle. He only wanted to trap Britain and withdraw it from the war, and the Kaiser did not want to fight Britain to the death. ”

He shook his head. In World War I and World War II, Germany had illusions about Britain, but the result was ......, Yang Rui didn't want to mention the war in Europe, he said: "I suddenly feel that we have too many submarines, and by the end of World War I, there will be almost 200 of them, if you want to save money, you still have to sell some and keep 100 ships." ”

"Sell?" Xu Huafeng said: "Who is this thing sold to?" Sell to Germany? ”

"Hmm. Sell some back to Germany, taking advantage of the fact that the unrestricted submarine war has not yet begun, otherwise it will definitely be blamed by Britain and France when the submarine war begins. Yang Rui said.

"But this matter will eventually be known to Britain and France, and it will ...... then," Xu Hua said.

"We have not violated international law, and besides, neutral Americans can buy weapons to Britain and France, so can't we non-neutral countries sell weapons to Germany?" Yang Rui said, "A hundred submarines can be delivered in gold, and if the price is doubled appropriately, it can be sold for a hundred and fifty tons of gold, and if these submarines sink more British ships, the freight will go up again......

Seeing the person in front of him doing business, Xu Huafeng suddenly sweated a little, he waited for Yang Rui to finish his vision and then said, "Actually, this money is not something that can be earned once or twice, the report of the household department doesn't say that now the national GDP is close to 10 billion taels, and in a few years it will really reach 10 billion taels, then the tax will be collected 10 percent, and the treasury will not have 1 billion taels, remove those that can't be collected, and there will always be 800 million taels for 800 million taels, minus the 700 million you calculated just now, and the remaining 100 million will be used to build roads." The British can't be too offended, this money is not earned once, and they will have to deal with it in the future. ”

"That's not going to work. Britain has the greatest interests in our country, and he is the one who loses the most to abolish those treaties and privileges, and he will not agree to it, and there will always be conflicts between the two sides, but the British are good at being very practical, and after a few battles, he will admit it. If selling submarines to Germany allows us to earn an extra billion, then we will be out of the way, and nothing will be empty without money. Yang Rui said, he is now thinking about how to make money.

This was the end of the discussion that night, and the biggest achievement of the two men was to determine the path of industrialization, but how to implement it would be discussed and revised on the basis of the various Shangshu.

At the beginning of the meeting the next morning, Yang Rui interrupted the previous meeting process and announced the new policy outline, so the officials of the Ministry of Education, the Ministry of Agriculture, and the Ministry of Transportation who benefited were all overjoyed, while others such as the Ministry of Commerce and the Ministry of Medicine were very disappointed, which is equivalent to saying that the funds to support industrial and medical construction will be squeezed out by several of their departments, Xie Zhangtai and Zhang Jian of the Ministry of Commerce looked at Xu Huafeng, and saw that his old god was not opposed, and Zhang Jian said: "Prime Minister, everyone, now the European war is imminent, and the import of foreign goods has been greatly reduced. It is right that we should vigorously support the development of industry, and only by vigorously supporting industry can the country be truly rich. ”

"No, Mr. Zhang Si, there is only one question now, who will sell the things produced after the development of the industry?" Yang Rui said. The low-interest loans in the past few years have made these people very happy, and now they still want policies.

"Now there is a big reduction in foreign goods, of course, they are sold to the people. The business industry finally has this opportunity, and if you miss it, it will be ......," Zhang said.

"Now is a great opportunity. But Mr. Zhang Si, no matter how much the European war is fought, it will end. What about foreign goods coming back? Yang Rui asked again.

"China can seek tariff autonomy in the next few years," Mr. Zhang said. "As long as the tariffs are raised, the foreign goods will also be greatly reduced."

"Mr. Zhang Si, now the import is only four or five billion taels of silver, assuming that these sales shares are given to the domestic industry, and none of the foreign goods can come in, then what should the industry do after occupying these markets?" Yang Rui asked again, pushing him into a corner little by little.

"This ......" Zhang Jian only thought about expelling foreign goods, and never thought about what would happen if there were no foreign goods and only domestic products. But now there is a shortage of funds in the business sector, if the government does not support it. Then these foreign goods can't be seized by the market. ”

"Then you can go public, or find corporate bond financing." Yang Rui said, "Now everyone knows that investing in industry to make money, it is very easy to find someone to join the shares, why not raise money like this?" ”

After Yang Rui finished speaking, Zhang Jian was speechless again, of course he knew that selling stocks on the stock market could raise money, but as a major shareholder of Dasheng Yarn Factory, how could he be willing to give up his shares to others? The government's industrial loans are low-interest, if you take into account the depreciation of silver. When the time comes, the money will not only be not interested, but will be lost, which is the real reason why the entire business community wants the government to provide loans.

"That's right. The government's industrial loans will be reduced year by year, and in the end, they will only help enterprises when they are starting or in crisis, and the business industry will need to raise funds in the future. Then please list or discover bonds. It's not that China is out of money, and it's not that industry can't borrow money. Now everyone is looking forward to government loans because they value him for low interest rates. Yang Rui said, "You can think about it." If not a single foreign product can come in, then after the 400 million share of the market is occupied by domestic products, who else can the products produced be sold to?

I thought about Huanqing's report yesterday all night, and discussed it with Mr. Hua Feng until midnight, in terms of the current situation, we can't just want to grab the hundreds of millions of foreign goods market, we should also create a bigger market. This larger market can only be the development of agriculture and the increase in the purchasing power of farmers. Imagine, 450 million people, one person makes a decent set of clothes a year, how much will the cloth market expand? This is the real gold mine. Only when agriculture is developed and peasants have money can industry become bigger, and at that time, the market share of the hundreds of millions of foreign goods will be very small. Therefore, agriculture should not only be chemicalized, but also scientific, after the scientificization, the industry will naturally develop, and the prosperity of industry is not promoted by the government at present, but driven by the market, which is the right way. ”

After Yang Rui finished speaking, Cai Yuanpei, Tao Chengzhang and others applauded with the people in the ministry, but Yang Rui did not appreciate it, he stretched out his hand to suppress the applause and said: "The previous reports of various ministries were written on the premise of revitalizing industry, but now it has become the revitalization of agriculture, education, and transportation, so I propose that we should adjourn the meeting first, and everyone go back and think about what the problems must be, and how the ministries will cooperate with this national policy." ”

The change of national policy, this is equivalent to the previous plan of the ministries in vain, the most affected is the Ministry of Commerce and the Ministry of Industry, but the advantageous industries under the jurisdiction of the Ministry of Industry are still retained, so only the Ministry of Commerce and those who invest in light industry are the big affected by the disaster, Du Yaquan was sullen about this, Zhang Jian stood up and sat down again, just complained: "This national policy can't be said to change." ”

Zhang Jian said in a low voice, but Yang Rui still heard it, he said with a smile: "Now the national policy is still being discussed, and the year before last was only the initial decision to revitalize the industry, but now Huanqing's report has made us understand one thing, that is, if the people have no money, no matter how much they support the industry, it will be empty, and in the end, those factories will not be able to be supported by the government." Besides, what is being discussed now is the national policy in a few years, since the founding of the country, the government's work has been to prepare for a major war in Europe and resist the Japanese invasion, and now that the Japanese are finished, the war in Europe will end sooner or later, and what to do next is what to discuss now. It's all gone, and I hope to see your reports before next month's exhibition. ”

The meeting that was supposed to be held for several days was dispersed like this, which was really surprising, and everyone left happily or sadly, but Sheng Xuanhuai and others Yang Rui let people stay, and after changing a cup of tea, Yang Rui asked: "I have a question now, that is, how much is the cost of building a road?" I know the railway, the cheap is 20,000 taels, the expensive is 30,000 or 40,000 taels, and the super expensive is the Western Regions Railway, almost 80,000 taels. As for the highways, there are only provincial roads, county roads, and township roads on your report, and there is no cost at all. ”

I thought that Yang Rui stayed because there was something important, but I didn't want to ask about the cost, and the people who came to the meeting from the transportation department were all building railways. The cost of the highway was not familiar, Sheng Xuanhuai looked at a few people beside him. Rather, an official named Hu Dongchao said in Beijing dialect in Cantonese: "Back to the Prime Minister, the domestic highways can be driven." There are only the two items from the capital to Tianjin, and the capital to Kulun, the capital to Tianjin is repaired by the army, although the transportation department is involved, but the cost is not known, the one to the Kulun is too early, and it can only be determined after checking the information. ”

Hu Dong didn't know anything at first, but he said later: "Xiaguan has helped several overseas Chinese businessmen in Guangdong briefly survey the highway to meet the road surface standards now formulated by the Ministry of Transportation. This provincial highway is estimated to be around 1,500 taels per kilometer......" Feeling that what he said was not detailed, Hu Dongchao explained in detail: "Roads and railways are different, there are no rails and vehicles, and the cost is roughly divided into three parts, one is the roadbed, which generally accounts for 25 percent of the cost, the other is the road surface, which accounts for 25 percent, and the remaining 50 percent. It is all bridge culverts, if the road is built directly, the bridge culvert is less, and it will naturally save money. But if it is Guangdong, Fujian, or even Yunnan, the cost will increase several times. In terms of the criteria that are now being determined. The cost of provincial roads per kilometer is about 1,500 taels, followed by county roads. Up to 1,000 taels, there are even fewer rural roads. Generally, 500 taels per kilometer is enough. [Note: The cost is from "Guangdong Highway Traffic History", p121.] The original cost has increased by fifty percent. ]

"Fifteen hundred taels, it seems to be more than ten times cheaper than the railway." Yang Rui couldn't help talking, he was talking about provincial roads, and rural roads would be cheaper.

Hearing the prime minister say that the highway is cheap, Hu Dongchao said again: "But the freight rate of the railway is more than ten times cheaper than that of automobile transportation." ”

Hu Dongchao said this, Yang Rui didn't care, but Sheng Xuanhuai coughed, and he asked, "What is the difference between provincial roads, county roads, and township roads?" What is the weight capacity? What is the height limit for bridge culverts? ”

"This ......" Hu Dongchao was speechless for a while, and Yan Deqing, who was making a detailed highway plan next to him, picked up, "Lord Hui, there is no height limit for bridges and culverts for the time being, and we have set a load-bearing provincial road of twelve tons, and if it exceeds it, it will crush the road surface, and the county road will ......."

If there is no height limit, how can the load be only twelve tons, Yang Rui shook his head and said, "This is not good." But thinking that he had not finished his words, he added, "Go on." ”

"Yes, my lord, the county road cannot exceed six tons, and the village road cannot exceed three tons. The difference between provincial roads, county roads, and township roads is that provincial roads are bullet stone roads, county roads are gravel roads, and township roads are sand roads; The provincial road is eight meters wide, the county road is six meters, and the township road is four meters......" Yan Deqing said, and when he wanted to explain why he chose this size, he was interrupted by Yang Rui.

"What kind of road is Bullet Rock Road? The asphalt road is not very good. Yang Rui asked.

"My lord, the bullet stone road can also be built into an asphalt road, but as soon as the weather is hot, this asphalt road will melt." Yan Deqing said, "The bullet stone road is mainly built with Sanhe soil, and the Sanhe soil component is qualified with 124, that is, one point Qingzhou mud, two points of clean sand, and four points of solid white stone, which is the most durable." ”

"But it can only carry twelve tons?" Yang Rui shook his head and said, very dissatisfied with the current road construction technology.

"Yes, sir. For the time being, there are no cars more than 12 tons at home and abroad, so we will ......," said Yan Deqing.

"That's just for the time being, not that there won't be in the future." Yang Rui thought of his painstaking design of the container logistics system, shipping, railways in the design of the container has been taken into account, can not be destroyed by the road, he emphasized: "Now the Ministry of Industry has developed a large transport truck with a load of ten tons, ten years later there will be a load of 20 tons of trucks, plus the weight of the car, the vehicle should be close to 40 tons." Then there is the kilometer height limit, the vehicle height plus the goods, at least three meters five or six, these should be noted when designing the highway. ”

Regardless of the height, the weight of the car was actually forty tons, and the officials of the Ministry of Transportation, including Sheng Xuanhuai, were dumbfounded, if it wasn't for Yang Rui to say this, they couldn't believe how it was such a heavy car, and it was almost time to catch the train. A few people were surprised, Sheng Xuanhuai said: "Your Excellency, after ten years, the car can really pull twenty tons?" ”

"Of course it can be done." Yang Rui said, "In fact, it can be done now, but the technology is not mature enough." The railway is for the train, the highway is for the car, go to the Ministry of Industry to ask for information, the road you build must be able to make the car built by the Ministry of Industry walk. Hurry up and spend a month rebuilding the pavement before giving me a new, comprehensive report. (To be continued......)